⛈ Thunderstorm Risk—
Probability (NWS OKX forecaster grid): 20% slight chance · 30–50% chance · 60–70% likely · 70%+ expected
CAPE (Open-Meteo GFS, 13 km): <500 negligible · 500–1,000 weak · 1,000–2,500 strong if storms fire · 2,500+ severe potential